| 严茂林1，周觉2，刘自搏3，张洋4，耿耿1.我国油料主产区油料安全韧性评价：体系构建、
发展差异及障碍度分析[J].中国油脂,2026,51(5):.[YAN Maolin1, ZHOU Jue2, LIU Zibo3, ZHANG Yang4, GENG Geng1.Evaluation of oilseed security resilience in China′s major oilseed-producing regions: System construction, development disparities, and obstacle degree analysis[J].China Oils and Fats,2026,51(5):.] |
| 我国油料主产区油料安全韧性评价：体系构建、
发展差异及障碍度分析 |
| Evaluation of oilseed security resilience in China′s major oilseed-producing regions: System construction, development disparities, and obstacle degree analysis |
| |
| DOI：10.19902/j.cnki.zgyz.1003-7969.250202 |
| 中文关键词: 油料 主产区 韧性 熵权法 泰尔指数 障碍度 |
| 英文关键词:oilseed major producing regions resilience entropy method Theil index obstacle degree |
| 基金项目:农业农村部财政经费项目“中国食物与营养发展战略研究”（JGHX202008）；国家林业和草原局管理干部学院重点项目“我国油茶高质量发展的实践路径研究”（202308） |
|
| Author Name | Affiliation | | YAN Maolin1, ZHOU Jue2, LIU Zibo3, ZHANG Yang4, GENG Geng1 | 1.State Academy of Forestry and Grassland Administration, Beijing 102600, China
2.School of Economics and
Management, Beijing University of Information Technology, Beijing 100192, China
3.Forestry and Grassland
Survey and Planning Institute of the National Forestry and Grassland Administration, Beijing 100013, China
4.School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China |
|
| 摘要点击次数: 167 |
| 全文下载次数: 8 |
| 中文摘要: |
| 旨在为提高我国油料安全水平提供参考，从抵抗能力、恢复能力和变革能力3个维度，利用熵权法和泰尔指数对2012—2023年我国13个油料主产省（区）油料安全韧性水平的空间分布特征、发展差异及演变趋势进行了研究，利用障碍度模型探索了制约我国油料安全韧性的影响因素，并提出了提升我国油料安全韧性水平的具体措施。研究发现：我国油料安全韧性水平总体呈波动上升趋势，2023年有3个省达到高韧性水平；我国油料主产区油料安全韧性泰尔指数呈波动上升趋势，说明我国油料安全韧性的省域差异在扩大；抵抗能力和变革能力不足是制约我国油料安全韧性提升的主要障碍。基于此，提出应通过提升人均耕地面积、油料播种面积等以增强抵抗能力，注重生态环境改善和绿色清洁生产等以强化恢复能力，加大财政支农支出、统筹利用国内国际两个市场以提升变革能力，从而提高我国油料安全韧性水平。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| To provide references for enhancing the resilience of oilseed security in China, the spatial distribution characteristics, development disparities, and evolution trends of oilseed security resilience in 13 major oilseed-producing regions from 2012 to 2023 were investigated using the entropy method and Theil index from three dimensions: resistance capacity, recovery capacity, and transformation capacity. An obstacle degree model was employed to explore the factors constraining the oilseed security resilience in China, and specific measures to improve the security resilience levels were proposed. The findings revealed that the resilience level of China′s oilseed security generally showed a fluctuating upward trend, with three provinces reaching a high resilience level in 2023. The Theil index of oilseed security resilience in major producing regions also exhibited a fluctuating upward trend, indicating widening inter-provincial disparities in security resilience. Insufficient resistance and transformation capacities were identified as the main obstacles hindering the improvement of oilseed security resilience. Based on these findings, it is proposed to enhance resistance capacity by increasing per capita cultivated land area and oilseed planting area, strengthen recovery capacity by focusing on ecological environment improvement and green clean production, and improve transformation capacity by increasing fiscal expenditure on agricultural support and coordinating the use of both domestic and international markets, thereby enhancing the overall resilience of oilseed security in China. |
| 查看全文 查看/发表评论 下载PDF阅读器 |
| 关闭 |
|
|
|
