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| 影响我国大豆价格变动的因素分析 |
| Analysis of factors affecting soybean price in China |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 大豆 计量经济学模型 价格 影响因素 |
| 英文关键词:soybean econometric model price influencing factor |
| 基金项目: |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 近些年我国大豆价格变动比较显著，并且呈现不规则性，其原因是国内外的环境越来越趋于复杂化，经济形势日益严峻，行业间的竞争逐渐激烈，并且大多数加工企业过分地依赖进口大豆，导致目前国内对国产大豆供过于求。运用计量经济学和统计学的原理对影响大豆价格变动的因素进行分析和检验，结果显示玉米油价格和大豆消费量对大豆价格有显著影响，与大豆价格呈正相关关系。研究结果可为相关政策部门判断大豆价格的变化趋势和制定相关的政策提供依据。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| In recent years, Chinas soybean price fluctuation was significant and showed irregular, the reason for this phenomenon was that the domestic and foreign environment became more and more complicated, economic situation was becoming increasingly grim, the competition in the industry was increasingly fierce, and most of the processing enterprises excessively depended on soybean imports, resulting in that domestic soybean supply exceeded demand at home. The affecting factors on soybean price were analysed and inspected by principle of econometrics and statistics. The results showed that the price of corn oil and soybean consumption had significant influences on soybean price, and they were positively correlated with soybean price. It could provide the constructive suggestions for the government and relevant departments to judge soybean price trend and formulate the related policy. |
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