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| 中美贸易摩擦下的中国大豆产业现状与发展趋势 |
| Current situation and development trend of China’s soybean industry under Sino-US trade friction |
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| DOI：10.12166/j.zgyz.1003-7969/2020.02.003 |
| 中文关键词: 贸易摩擦 大豆 现状 发展趋势 |
| 英文关键词:trade friction soybean current situation development trend |
| 基金项目: |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 梳理了中美贸易摩擦下中国大豆产业的现状，分析了大豆产业发展特点的原因，以及未来的变化趋势。分析表明：中国大豆进口的增加主要源于中国大豆油和豆粕市场需求的增长，进口来源国集中于巴西和美国。贸易摩擦将重塑世界大豆种植和贸易格局，中国大豆进口来源国会多元化，大豆替代品国内产量和进口量会有所增加，但大豆依赖进口的局面仍将持续。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| The current situation of China’s soybean industry under Sino-US trade friction were summarized.The reasons for the development characteristics of the soybean industry and the future change trend were analyzed. The analysis showed that the increasing of China’s soybean import was mainly due to the growing demand of China’s soybean oil and soybean meal, and the import source countries were concentrated on Brazil and the United States. Trade frictions would reshape the world soybean planting and trade pattern. China’s soybean import sources would be diversified. Domestic production and import of soybean substitutes would increase, but the situation of soybean dependence on import would continue. |
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