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| 贸易争端背景下世界油料、植物油生产和贸易格局变动分析 |
| Changes in production and trade patterns of global oilseeds andvegetable oils under the background of trade disputes |
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| DOI：10.12166/j.zgyz.1003-7969/2020.07.002 |
| 中文关键词: 贸易争端 油料生产 植物油生产 油料贸易 植物油贸易 |
| 英文关键词:trade disputes oilseeds production vegetable oils production oilseeds trade vegetable oils trade |
| 基金项目:河南省高等学校重点科研项（19A630032）；郑州航空工业管理学院研究生教育质量提升项目；郑州航空工业管理学院高等教育教学改革研究与实践项目 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 2019年5月以来中美贸易冲突再度重启，世界油料、植物油生产和贸易格局也随之迎来新的变局。在总结分析世界油料、植物油生产和贸易特征的基础上，探讨了中美贸易争端对世界油料、植物油生产和贸易格局的影响。主要结论为：相对垄断的世界油料、植物油生产和出口格局在中长时期内不会改变；相对分散的世界油料、植物油进口市场存在较多变数；短期内会出现美国与巴西、阿根廷等国的国别替代以及大豆、大豆油与棕榈油的品种替代；中国仍将保持大量进口油料，以进口油料为主、进口植物油为辅的基本态势。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| With the restart of Sino-US trade conflicts since May 2019, the global oilseeds and vegetable oils production and trade patterns have also ushered in new changes. On the basis of summarizing and analyzing the production and trade characteristics of global oilseeds and vegetable oils, the impact of Sino-US trade disputes on the production and trade patterns of global oilseeds and vegetable oils was discussed. The main conclusions were obtained as follows: the production and export pattern of relative monopoly of global oilseeds and vegetable oils would not change in the medium and long term; the relatively scattered global oilseeds and vegetable oils import market had many variables; in the short term, there would be country substitutions in the United States, Brazil, Argentina and other countries, as well as substitution variety of soybean, soybean oil and palm oil; China would still maintain the basic situation of large amount of imported oilseeds and a small amount of imported vegetable oil. |
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