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| Evolution of global peanut trade pattern and policy implication |
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| DOI： |
| KeyWord:global peanut trade social network China policy implication |
| FundProject:国家社科基金（21BGL286）；现代农业产业技术体系项目（CARS-14-1-32-1）；黑龙江省社科基金（18JYB137）；东农学者学术骨干项目（54933012） |
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| Abstract: |
| Based on the principles of trade network and topology, and the cross-sectional data of global peanut trade in 1999,2004,2009,2014 and 2019, the social network analysis method was used to explore the evolution of global peanut trade network in 1999-2019 and its policy implications for peanut trade in China. The results showed that the direct trade routes between peanut trading partner countries were becoming shorter and shorter, and the core countries of global peanut trade were becoming more and more diversified.China, United States and Netherlands were the world’s important peanut trade hub countries in 1999-2019.China had a strong independent ability to carry out peanut export trade, but the import trade was still subject to greater constraints by other countries. China’s peanut import volume would not drop significantly in a short period of time, and the trade risks were increasing. Based on the diversification trend of China’s peanut export trade pattern, the domestic peanut industry was facing both challenges and opportunities. Based on the above conclusions, it was proposed that we should give full play to China’s intermediary influence in the global peanut trade market, actively carry out bilateral and multilateral trade cooperation, implement different export strategies to China’s important, traditional and potential peanut export markets,and the relevant authorities should provide the necessary policy and information support for the diversification of China’s peanut import channels. |
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