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| Present situation of edible vegetable oil supply in China and its future development strategy |
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| DOI： |
| KeyWord:edible vegetable oilseeds edible vegetable oil development strategy Holt two parameters linear exponential smoothing model |
| FundProject:国家自然科学基金面上项目（71573019）；农业农村部财政经费项目“中国食物与营养发展战略研究”资助（JGHX202008） |
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| Abstract: |
| In recent years, with the continuous decline in the self-sufficiency rate of edible vegetable oil, it has become a national strategy to improve the supply of domestic edible vegetable oilseeds and ensure the safety of national edible oil. By combing previous studies and official information, the output data of China’s eight traditional edible vegetable oilseeds from 2000 to 2019 were sorted out, and the local supply of edible vegetable oils over the years in combination with relevant studies was calculated, while a Holt two parameters linear exponential smoothing model was established to predict the total supply of domestic edible vegetable oilseeds and oils. Combined with the national edible vegetable oil development plan, the factors restricting the development of edible vegetable oil in China were further analyzed, and targeted suggestions were put forward. It is expected to provide data reference and technical support for the state to formulate the development plan of edible vegetable oil and |
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