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| Changes in production and trade pattern of global rapeseed and its processed products under the background of "double impact" |
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| DOI： |
| KeyWord:trade dispute the epidemic situation of COVID-19 rapeseed rapeseed oil rapeseed meal production and trade pattern |
| FundProject: |
| Author Name | Affiliation | | WANG Yanfei1, MA Xutong2, CHEN Kejun2, LI Chenlong2, SUN Jiajia2, WANG Yonggang2 | 1.Institute of Food and Strategic Reserves,Nanjing University of Finance & Economics,Nanjing 210003,China
2.School of Management Engineering,Zhengzhou University of Aeronautics,Zhengzhou 450046, China |
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| Abstract: |
| In recent years, the outbreak of trade disputes and the epidemic situation of COVID-19 has a certain impact on the production and trade pattern of rapeseed and its processed products in the world. The study of this issue is of great significance to ensure the security of the import supply chain of rapeseed and its processed products in China. The characteristics of changes in the production and trade patterns of rapeseed and its processed products in the world were summarised and analysed, the demonstrated comparative advantages and trade complementarities of major importing and exporting countries(regions) were empirically analysed, and the "double impact" of trade disputes and the epidemic situation of COVID-19 on the production and trade pattern of rapeseed and its processed products in the world was explored. The main conclusions are as follows: in the medium to long term, the "double impact" will not significantly change the production and trade pattern of rapeseed and its processed products in the world based on comparative advantage. In the short term, trade disputes between major importing and exporting countries will intensify country substitution, and the scale of trade between China and Canada, Russia and Australia will one fade and the other grow. The epidemic situation of COVID-19 has increased trade costs and supply chain risks, and put forward higher requirements for improving the performance of cross-border logistics and supply chain. |
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