Analysis of the import trade potential of plant oilseed in China
  
DOI:10.19902/j.cnki.zgyz.1003-7969.240110
KeyWord:plant oilseed import  improved trade gravity model  import trade potential  backward gradual regression analysis
FundProject:2023年度安徽省社会科学创新发展研究课题(2023CX013);安徽省高等学校科学研究项目(2022AH051664);教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目(23YJCZH247)
Author NameAffiliation
CAO Chong,XIE Wenbao School of Economics and Management, West Anhui University, Lu′an 237012, Anhui, China 
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Abstract:
      In order to help plant oilseed industry security, based on the actual situation of plant oilseed imports in China, using international panel data in 2013-2022 of 2022 Chinese plant oilseed imports top 26 trading partners, the improved trade gravity model was built, the plant oilseed import trade potential was analyzed, and the enhancement plant oilseed industry security policy suggestions were put forward. Through the improved trade gravity model, the analysis results showed that the plant oilseed trade with Russia and Mongolia belonged to trade potential mature, with Argentina, the United States, Brazil, Sudan, Australia and other 13 countries belonged to trade potential growth, and with Ukraine, Tanzania and other 4 countries belonged to trade potential insufficiency. Policy suggestions include encouraging enterprises to actively participate in plant oilseed trade, effectively preventing uncertain risks in the international market and promotimg the diversified development of emerging markets.
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