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Evolution of global palm oil trade pattern and policy implications |
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DOI: |
KeyWord:global palm oil trade social network China policy implications |
FundProject:农业农村部财政经费项目“中国食物与营养发展战略研究”资助(JGHX202008);国家自然科学基金面上项目(71573019) |
Author Name | Affiliation | YAN Maolin1, SHI Wenhua2, ZHOU Xiaoliang3, YIN Guohua1,
ZHANG Yang2, WU Chengliang2 | 1.State Academy of Forestry and Grassland Administration, Beijing 102600, China 2.School of
Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China 3.Agricultural
Information Institute of CAAS, Beijing 100098, China |
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Abstract: |
In order to adjust China′s palm oil trade policy in a timely manner and guide the development of China′s woody oilseed and oil industry, the data of global palm oil trade in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2020 were used to explore the evolution characteristics of global palm oil trade network from 2000 to 2020 and its implications for China′s foreign trade policy of edible oil by social network analysis method. The results showed that the direct trade path between global palm oil trading partner countries was shortening, the number of global palm oil trade core countries was relatively stable, and the core position was relatively stable. As the world′s five most prominent palm oil trade hubs, China, India and the Netherlands were important importers, while Malaysia and Indonesia were important exporters. International palm oil trade was greatly affected by the policies of major exporters. China′s palm oil imports would not fluctuate greatly in the short term, but there were still high trade risks. Based on the centralized trend of palm oil trade pattern, China′s vegetable oil trade and industry were facing both challenges and opportunities. It is suggested that bilateral and multilateral trade cooperation in vegetable oil including palm oil should be actively carried out, agricultural enterprises should be encouraged to go abroad, and domestic woody oilseed and oil industry should be vigorously developed. |
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