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| Analysis of import flow and potential of China′s plant oilseed based on improved trade gravity model |
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| DOI：10.19902/j.cnki.zgyz.1003-7969.230640 |
| KeyWord:plant oilseed import influence factor import potential improved trade gravity model |
| FundProject:安徽省教育厅科学研究项目（2022AH051664）；2021年度安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目（AHSKY2021D33） |
| Author Name | Affiliation | | CAO Chong1,2, YUAN Guojun1,2, SONG Fenghua3 | （1.School of Economics and Management, West Anhui University, Lu′an 237012, Anhui, China
2.Anhui
Engineering Research Center for Eco-agriculture of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Lu′an 237012, Anhui,
China
3.School of Engineering, Guangzhou College of Technology and Business, Guangzhou 510850, China） |
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| Abstract: |
| To provide a reference basis for ensuring the safety of domestic plant oilseed, an improved trade gravity model was constructed based on the actual situation of China′s plant oilseed import, and 26 countries of China′s plant oilseed import trade from 2013 to 2022 were used to investigate the influence factors and potential of China′s plant oilseed import flow. The results showed that economic scale, geographical distance, similar demand and adjacent borders played a promoting role in China′s plant oilseed import, while population size, factor endowment, openness degree, exchange rate level and regional organization had some hindering effect. Plant oilseed imported from Brazil was "excessive import", plant oilseed imported from 22 countries, including Mongolia, the United States, Russia and Pakistan, was "import saturation", while plant oilseed imported from Mexico, Ukraine and Burkina Faso was "insufficient import". Therefore, it is necessary to improve the efficiency and capacity of plant oilseed production of China, encourage domestic enterprises to actively participate in the plant oilseed import market, attach importance to the national heterogeneity between China and plant oilseed trading partners, and promote the promotion of emerging market strategy, which are conducive to realize complementary advantages and ensure the safety of domestic plant oilseed. |
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